Climate change is causing wildfires in the West to get bigger, hurricanes in the South to get stronger, and temperatures to rise across the U.S. But when candidates talk about the issue on the campaign trail, does it sway voters?
That’s a question that Lawrence Hamilton, a researcher at the University of New Hampshire who studies public views of climate change, has studied for more than a decade.
For years, he said, climate change awareness was growing in the U.S. But that slowed after the pandemic as conspiracies about the government and science exploded.
Hamilton said the rise in misinformation is one reason extreme weather events fueled by climate change don’t swing many votes during election seasons. Recent examples include hurricanes Helene and Milton in the Southeast, and the Davis Fire in northern Nevada.
Another reason is “voting has become really tied to identity,” he said. “There's this connection between certain positions, such as rejecting science on climate change, and your personal, deep identity. And once that connection is made, it's really hard to uncouple.”
Hamilton said that’s especially true for people who are 30 and older, noting that survey data shows people are more willing to change their minds about issues in their 20s.
To that end, he added that younger generations are more likely to blame humans for climate change and be concerned about increasing climate disasters. In other words, in the future, the issue could have a bigger impact on elections across the Mountain West.
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